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Original ResearchClimate change

Heat Index: An Alternative Indicator for Measuring the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on Diarrhoea in the Climate Change Era: A Time Series Study in Dhaka, Bangladesh

Farhana Haque, Fiona Lampe, Shakoor Hajat, Katerina Stavrianaki, S. M. Tafsir Hasan, Abu Syed Golam Faruque, Tahmeed Ahmed, Shamim Jubayer, Ilan Kelman
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · 2024;21(11) · 1481
DOI10.3390/ijerph21111481

Abstract

Heat index (HI) is a biometeorological indicator that combines temperature and relative humidity. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the Heat Index and daily counts of diarrhoea hospitalisation in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Data on daily diarrhoea hospitalisations and meteorological variables from 1981 to 2010 were collected. We categorised the Heat Index of >94.3 °F (>34.6 °C), >100.7 °F (>38.2 °C) and >105 °F (>40.6 °C) as high, very high and extremely high Heat Index, respectively. We applied a time series adjusted generalised linear model (GLM) with negative binomial distribution to investigate the effects of the Heat Index and extreme Heat Index on hospitalisations for diarrhoea. Effects were assessed for all ages, children under 5 years old and by gender. A unit higher HI and high, very high and extremely high HI were associated with 0.8%, 8%, 7% and 9% increase in diarrhoea hospitalisations in all ages, respectively. The effects varied slightly by gender and were most pronounced in children under 5 years old with a rise of 1°F in high, very high and extremely high HI associated with a 14.1% (95% CI: 11.3-17.0%), 18.3% (95% CI: 13.4-23.5%) and 18.1% (95% CI: 8.4-28.6%) increase of diarrhoea, respectively. This suggests that the Heat Index may serve as an alternative indicator for measuring the combined effects of temperature and humidity on diarrhoea.

Keywords

Climate changeIndex (typography)ClimatologySeries (stratigraphy)Environmental scienceTime seriesMeteorologyEnvironmental healthGeographyStatistics

Author affiliations

Farhana Haque
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
iD0000-0002-4308-2857
Fiona Lampe
University College London
iD0000-0001-6851-5471
Shakoor Hajat
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
iD0000-0002-3086-362X
Katerina Stavrianaki
University College London
iD0000-0001-9413-1842
S. M. Tafsir Hasan
International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research
iD0000-0002-6062-4072
Abu Syed Golam Faruque
International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research
iD0000-0001-8343-4653
Tahmeed Ahmed
International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research
iD0000-0002-4607-7439
Shamim Jubayer
National Heart Foundation Hospital & Research Institute
iD0000-0002-8595-1993
Ilan Kelman
University of Agder
iD0000-0002-4191-6969

Article history

Published
07 Nov 2024
Funding
Commonwealth Scholarship Commission
How to cite this
Farhana Haque, Fiona Lampe, Shakoor Hajat, Katerina Stavrianaki, S. M. Tafsir Hasan, Abu Syed Golam Faruque, Tahmeed Ahmed, Shamim Jubayer, & Ilan Kelman. (2024). Heat Index: An Alternative Indicator for Measuring the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on Diarrhoea in the Climate Change Era: A Time Series Study in Dhaka, Bangladesh.  International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 21(11), 1481. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21111481
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Heat Index: An Alternative Indicator for Measuring the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on Diarrhoea in the Climate Change Era: A Time Series Study in Dhaka, Bangladesh | NHFB Dept. of Epidemiology